Market Update: January 2025

The January 2025 market update kicked off with strong market performance despite notable volatility. The S&P 500 rose by 2.7%, the NASDAQ by 1.6%, and the Dow Jones by 4.7%. However, economic indicators presented mixed signals, with GDP growth at 2.3% and the consumer price index rising by 2.9%. A major AI breakthrough from Chinese company DeepSeek shook technology stocks, while President Trump introduced new tariffs impacting global trade. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady amid shifting economic conditions. Investors should stay focused on long-term strategies as markets adjust to these developments.


This is Brad Barrie, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager with Dynamic Wealth Group. Welcome to this market and economic update..

In this video, we’ll go over some of the major market drivers in the first month of the year, at the start of President Trump’s second term.

The markets began the year with gains, despite volatility, with major indices up:

  • The S&P 500 rose by 2.7%
  • The NASDAQ increased by 1.6%
  • The Dow Jones climbed by 4.7%

Meanwhile, economic indicators showed mixed signals. GDP growth came in at 2.3% for the previous quarter, but inflation remained above target, with the consumer price index up 2.9% from a year earlier.

AI Breakthrough Shakes Technology Stocks

Bar chart titled "Sector Returns – Year-to-Date" from the Dynamic Wealth Group's Market and Economic Chartbook, February 3, 2025. It displays the performance of S&P 500 sectors, with communication services leading at 9.0% year-to-date returns, followed by healthcare at 6.6%, financials at 6.4%, and technology at the lowest with -2.9%. Additional data includes peak and trough returns for each sector as of January 31, 2025. This visual highlights trends relevant to the January 2025 market update, including the performance of technology stocks amidst discussions on tariffs, interest rates, and the latest AI breakthroughs. Sources: Clearnomics, Standard & Poor's, LSEG.
Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

One of the most significant developments this month came from Chinese company DeepSeek, which reported an AI breakthrough. Their claim of achieving a 95-97% reduction in resource and energy requirements for training cutting-edge AI models led to uncertainty in the market. As a result, technology stocks saw a sell-off, with Nvidia suffering the biggest single-day loss in company history, dropping 17%.

This event had a widespread impact, as the tech sector has grown significantly in market influence, driven by stocks like The Magnificent Seven. The sell-off highlights the importance of diversification and reinforces our philosophy of preparation over prediction—unexpected events like this can disrupt markets in unforeseen ways – it’s the bus you don’t see that hits you.

President Trump Implements New Tariffs

Layered area chart titled "U.S. Trade Balance by Country" from the Dynamic Wealth Group's Market and Economic Chartbook, February 3, 2025. It illustrates the rolling 12-month U.S. trade deficits with key trading partners: China at -$289 billion, Europe at -$247 billion, and Mexico at -$169 billion, contributing to a total trade deficit of -$1.148 trillion as of October 2024. The chart highlights long-term trends since 2010, showing deepening trade imbalances and key economic challenges influenced by tariffs, GDP growth, and international trade policies under the Trump administration. Sources: Clearnomics, Census Bureau.
Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

President Trump signed executive orders imposing new tariffs:

  • 25% on Canada
  • 10% on China
  • 25% on Mexico (postponed for a month in exchange for border security concessions)

While these tariffs were expected, they have still unsettled markets. However, history shows that previous tariff policies under Trump’s first administration led to concerns but did not prevent strong market performance. Many tariffs were ultimately used as negotiation tools, resulting in agreements such as the US-Mexico-China Trade Agreement and the Phase One Deal with China.

Federal Reserve Maintains Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at 4.25% to 4.5% in its January meeting. This follows three consecutive rate cuts in previous meetings. Given the combination of a slightly accelerating inflation rate, a strong job market, and continued economic growth, the Fed’s decision aligns with current market conditions.

Despite ongoing volatility, January’s market gains reinforce the importance of long-term investment strategies. Investors should maintain perspective and avoid overreacting to daily news cycles.

As we move into February, investors should stay informed on how the tariff situation evolves and how markets adjust to the recent AI breakthrough. Maintaining a balanced and diversified portfolio remains key to navigating market uncertainties.

Conclusion

We hope you found these high-level insights helpful. If you are a financial advisor and would like more information on our multi-dimensional approach to asset management, feel free to download our eye-opening white paper titled Busting Seven Risk and Return Myths. You can click on the link below, or visit our website at DynamicWG.com, or email us at info@DynamicWG.com. If you’re an individual investor, we are happy to address any questions you may have and put you in touch with a qualified advisor, if so desired.

Until next time, take care, everyone, and make smart, logical, and fact-based financial decisions.


Disclaimer:

  • Clearnomics and Dynamic Wealth Group, LLC are not affiliated entities.  No part of this should be taken as investment advice.  Consult your financial advisor for specific investment recommendations tailored to your specific situation. 
  • Dynamic Wealth Group (“Dynamic”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of Dynamic by the SEC, nor does it indicate that Dynamic has attained a particular level of skill or ability. This material prepared by Dynamic is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product. Opinions expressed by Dynamic are based on economic or market conditions at the time this material was written. Economies and markets fluctuate. Actual economic or market events may turn out differently than anticipated. Facts presented have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Dynamic, however, cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and certain information presented here may have been condensed or summarized from its original source.
  • Dynamic does not provide tax or legal advice, and nothing contained in these materials should be taken as tax or legal advice.
  • Any reference to an index is included for illustrative purposes only, as an index is not a security in which an investment can be made. Indices are unmanaged vehicles that serve as market indicators and do not account for the deduction of management fees and/or transaction costs generally associated with investable products. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Actual returns may be lower.

High-tech financial analysis room featuring digital displays of stock market indices, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones, alongside AI-powered data visualizations. The futuristic setup reflects trends in economic growth, GDP, inflation, technology stocks, and interest rates. Key topics like January 2025 market update, President Trump, and asset management are highlighted. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.
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